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 Friday, November 30, 2007

Toyota's All-Out Drive To Stay Toyota.

Business Week Article

I have a number of "Toyota is struggling" articles in the backlog to work through. Maybe I'll dump the rest of those later in a single post. This was a good article from BusinessWeek (actually a weekly publication, unlike IndustryWeek), thanks to Mike T. for sending it my way.

Is Toyota sitting idly by? Not at all, they are stepping up training:

"...management has launched a slew of education initiatives, and even uses a business school in Tokyo to teach Toyota to be, well, more like Toyota. "We are making every effort not to lose our DNA," says Shigeru Hayakawa, president of Toyota Motor North America."
The hypergrowth is a challenge, to be sure:
"And in the past three years, Toyota has hired 40,000 workers new to the company's culture. "It isn't an immediate problem; it's like a metabolic disease you don't know you have before it's too late," says Tatsuo Yoshida, an analyst at UBS in Tokyo."
When I was at Dell, we were growing at 30 to 35% a year, which was a frantic pace to keep up, in terms of building new factories and hiring new people. I came on board in 1999, just after the company had starting hiring lots of experienced managers from other companies. which compared to the go-go culture of Dell, that was like hiring GM people into Toyota. Not necessarily the same culture and that led to some culture clashes, with those who had been brought up in the Dell system and the new people who didn't want some of those "old company" cultures seeping in.

Nothing against GM people, lots of talented, hardworking people there... so what does Toyota do when they hire an experience GM leader? Send them to training!
"When Steve St. Angelo was hired from General Motors in 2005, the executive immediately found himself back on the assembly line for several weeks. It didn't matter that he had spent almost 10 years at a plant in Fremont, Calif., jointly owned by GM and Toyota, where the Toyota Way has been alive and well for decades. The company figured an outsider hired to a management jobâo[per thou]a rarity at Toyotaâo[per thou]would need schooling in the basics. "They assumed I knew nothing about Toyota's production system," says St. Angelo, who in June was promoted to North American manufacturing boss."
I don't remember Dell having any formal "this is our culture" training.

Does it seem, to anyone, that Toyota is standing still, not trying furiously to improve, even though everyone anoints them the #1 and the leader? "Continuous improvement in the pursuit of perfection," that's the phrase right? Not "continuous improvement until you're #1 and then rest on your laurels." That attitude is probably the toughest aspect of the Toyota Way culture for other companies to copy, don't you think?

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[Lean Blog]
7:42:56 AM  
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 Tuesday, November 27, 2007

PFI 'forcing public service cuts'. Some councils are cutting services because private firms are exploiting a Treasury scheme to push up prices, MPs say. [BBC News | UK | UK Edition]
11:35:15 AM  
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 Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Fascinating Article on Bad Decision-Making by the Israeli Defense Force.

Check-out this insightful article that we posted over at our website Evidence-Based Management. As Jeff Pfeffer puts it so well:

"We have just posted an amazing article by an Israeli professor that has some fascinating material on how things went so wrong for the Israeli army in its recent struggles in Lebanon. The article highlights the importance of assumptions, mental models, and mind sets as crucial to making better and better informed decisions."

The article is by Raanan Lipshitz and here is the abstract:
 

"This paper argues that the Israel Defense Force (I.D.F.) failure in the second Lebanon war can be partly attributed to commanders mindless and insufficiently critical decision making processes at the individual, group and organizational levels, or the platoon/tactical, division/operational and GHQ/strategic levels. Four cases are analyzed. The first three cases confirm the proposition during planning and opening stages of the war. The fourth case tests confirms its validity during the war's second, ground campaign phase. The paper presents an inclusive psychological conceptualization of decision making that is radically different from the calculative conceptualization that underlies mainstream decision research. The descriptive and prescriptive implications of the paper's findings and the model that it presents generalize beyond the second Lebanon War and Military Decision Making to decision making in business and the conduct of decision research."

[Bob Sutton]
8:42:03 AM  
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Northern Rock shares fall again. Shares in troubled bank Northern Rock fall by up to 25% as uncertainty about a buyout continues. [BBC News | UK | UK Edition]
8:39:03 AM  
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 Thursday, November 8, 2007

Automotive Overproduction Comparison. How GM Handles a Hit: Build Fewer - WSJ.com

The WSJ had an article today about how GM is trying to avoid overproduction of hot new vehicles (like the Buick Enclave) so that they don't have to dump inventory to rental fleets or resort to using incentives and discounts to move metal. Both of those practices harm resale value, which is one buying point for many customers.

I read recently how Toyota's goal is to build one car less than customer demand, always keeping that in balance.

So how does Toyota compare to the "Detroit Three" in terms of inventory levels and avoiding overproduction? This graphic from the article tells quite a story.

Toyota has half the inventory of GM, Ford, and Chrysler, not just in total numbers, but in adjusted "inventory per market share point." Toyota carries fewer days of inventory than their competitors, clearly.

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[Lean Blog]
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 Tuesday, October 23, 2007

The Seventh Flow

Those of you who are familiar with Shingijutsu’s materials and teaching (or at least familiar with Nakao-san’s version of things) have heard of “The Seven Flows.” As a brief overview for everyone else, the original version, and my interpretations are:

  1. The flow of people.
  2. The flow of information.
  3. The flow of raw materials (incoming materials).
  4. The flow of sub-assemblies (work-in-process).
  5. The flow of finished goods (outgoing materials).
  6. The flow of machines.
  7. The flow of engineering. (The subject of this post.)

A common explanation of “the flow of engineering” is “the footprints of the engineer on the shop floor.” I suppose that is nice-sounding at a philosophical level, but it doesn’t do anything for me because I still didn’t get what it looks like (unless we make engineers walk through wet paint before going to the work area).

Common interpretations are to point to all of the great gadgets, gizmos and devices that it does take an engineer (or at least someone with an engineer’s mindset, if not the formal training) to design and produce.

I think that misses the point.

All of those gizmos and gadgets should be there as countermeasures to real, actual problems that have either been encountered or were anticipated and prevented. But that is not a “flow.” It is a result.

My “put” here is that “The Flow Of Engineering” is better expressed as “The Flow of Problem Solving.”

When a problem is encountered in the work flow, what is the process to:

  • Detect that there even is a problem. (”A deviation from the standard”)
  • Stop trying to continue to blindly execute the same process as though there was no problem.
  • Fix or correct the problem to restore (at a minimum) safety and protect downstream from any quality issues.
  • Determine why it happened in the first place, and apply an effective countermeasure against the root cause.

If you do not see plain, clear, and convincing evidence that this is happening as you walk through or observe your work areas, then frankly, it probably isn’t happening.

Other evidence that it isn’t happening:

At the cultural and human-interaction level:

  • Leaders saying things like “Don’t just bring me the problem, bring a solution!” or belittling people for bring up “small problems” instead of just handling them.
  • People who bring up problems being branded as “complainers.”
  • A system where any line stop results in overtime.
  • No simple, on/off signal to call for assistance. No immediate response.
    • If initially getting help requires knowing who to phone, and making a long explanation before anyone else shows up, that ain’t it.
  • “Escalation” as something the customer (or customer process) does when the supplying organization doesn’t respond. Escalation must be automatic and based on elapsed-time-without-resolution.

Go look. How is your “Flow of Problem Solving?

- Mark [The Lean Thinker]
8:17:39 AM  
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 Friday, October 12, 2007

Getting A Plant Tour

A couple of days ago I wrote about how to host a tour. Here are some thoughts on how to get one. As always, I’d love to hear your comments and experiences.

Don’t expect your hosts to change your “cement heads.” I have had requests from groups who wanted to send their “resistant managers” to our factory so we can show them things that will change their minds. Doesn’t work. Sorry, that is your job. My experience is that people who don’t want to see the benefits will always find all of the things that are “unique” about their circumstance, and special case reasons why the other place is doing so much better.

Go to learn, not to look. In my last post I made reference to “industrial tourists.” Those are groups that are more interested in the layout and clever gizmos than in the thinking behind them. They are, at best, looking for ideas and your technical solutions to their problems. Copying others’ solutions is not thinking.

Going to learn is a different attitude. When you look at a layout, or other technical solution, ask yourself this: “What problem does that solve?” How does it save time? How does it remove variation from the process? What did the operation look like before they did that? Force yourself to think in four dimensions. Not just what you see now, but what it would have looked like in the past. WHY did they do this?

Although many people think lean manufacturing is counter-intuitive, I think that with this line of thinking you will find it actually is just common-sense solutions to the problems that everyone has, every day.

Nobody is perfect. Even a Toyota plant has obvious issues. If you end up fault-finding, you will miss the good stuff. I was touring a Toyota plant with a group a couple of years ago and it had obviously slipped. This is old news, and one of the reasons for their internal back-to-basics approach. But two things came to light: The rich visual controls made it easy for total strangers on the 1 hour tour to SEE the difference between “what should be” and “what is.” Wow. Try that in YOUR factory. And, reading the news stories, it was a problem they were taking very seriously and doing something about it vs. not noticing the deterioration and just letting things go.

Every plant has issues. Some have great material flow and pull systems, but only average problem solving. Others have a great technical base for home-grown tools, fixtures and machines. A few have great problem solving (They seem to be doing better than others.) Take in what is working, and what is holding them back. What would be the next problem they are working on?

Pay attention to the people. People are the system. How do they interact with the physical artifacts (layout, machines, etc.) An operation that has their stuff together will have people who are obviously comfortable with the pace of work. It will be obvious they get support when there are problems.

Don’t ask too many questions. What? Aren’t you there to learn? Yes. But try to learn with your eyes first. Even if you are moving, “stand in the chalk circle” and see the problems and the solutions. Sharpen your observation skills before you take the tour. Practice in your own plant. When I am hosting visitors and we have the time, my response to a question is to show them where to look for their answer, then ask them what they saw.

If allowed, make sketches. Most operations will have a prohibition against photographs. Even if they allow photos, however, you will capture much more if you stand and sketch what you see. You don’t have to produce a work of art. The purpose is to force your eye to pay attention to the small details. You will see much more through the eyes of the artist than you will through a camera.

Remember they are in the business of production, not consulting.
“Be a good guest” and remember that everybody there has a real job.

Edit 5 Sept: And Jon Miller correctly pointed out something I missed:

Give Back. You will bring “fresh eyes” to their environment and see things they do not. Everyone suffers from a degree of blindness to the familiar. If you are really going to see and learn, you will gain insights that can help your hosts in their own improvements. Ask them the questions that will help them see what you see.

- Mark [The Lean Thinker]
7:42:03 AM  
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 Friday, October 5, 2007

Why Rewarding People for Failure Makes Sense: Paying "Kill Fees" for Bad Projects.

The notion that companies ought to reward people for failure and punish them for success is, at best, a dangerous half-truth.  A high failure rate is a hallmark of innovation.  Whether we are talking about products, new companies, or new business processes, there is little evidence that aiming to reduce failure rates is a useful strategy.

U.C. Davis Professor Dean Keith Simonton, who has spent much of his career doing long-term quantitative studies of creative genius,  has concluded that a high failure rate is a hallmark of creative geniuses -- he concludes that the most creative people -- scientists,  composers, artists, authors, and on and on -- have the greatest number of failures because they do the most stuff.  And he can find little evidence that creative geniuses have a higher success rate than their more ordinary counterparts; they just take more swings at the ball. Check out his book Origins for Genius , perhaps the most complete review of research on the subject. 

The upshot of all this is that the most creative people -- and companies -- don't have lower failure rates, they fail faster and cheaper, and perhaps learn more from their setbacks, than their competitors.  One of the biggest impediments to faster and cheaper failures is that once people have made a public commitment to some course of action and have devoted a lot of time and energy to it, they become convinced that what they are doing valuable independently of the facts.  My colleague and friend Barry Staw at the Haas Business School has devoted much of his career to studying this process of "escalating commitment to a failing course of action."  Barry shows through a host of experiments, field studies, and case studies that such irrational devotion can be extremely destructive and remarkably hard to stop once it starts.

One antidote to such misguided commitment is provide people incentives for pulling the plug as early as possible on failing projects. Merck, the giant pharmaceutical firm, is doing a host of things to improve their innovation process these days, and following Staw's research, Peter Kim, the new head of R&D has instituted what they call "kill fees"" at Merck, paying out serious dollars to scientists who pull the plug on failing projects.  As BusinessWeek reported:

'An inability to admit failure leads to inefficiencies. A scientist may spend months and tens of thousands of dollars studying a compound, hoping for a result he or she knows likely won't come, rather than pitching in on a project with a better chance of turning into a viable drug. So Kim is promising stock options to scientists who bail out on losing projects. It's not the loss per se that's being rewarded but the decision to accept failure and move on. "You can't change the truth. You can only delay how long it takes to find it out," Kim says. "If you're a good scientist, you want to spend your time and the company's money on something that's going to lead to success."'

If you blend together research suggesting that failing faster rather than failing less often is essential to innovation, that an action orientation is essential to innovation,  as well as research suggesting that so-called experts aren't very good at guessing which new ideas will succeed and fail, you can see why I proposed in "Weird Ideas That Work" that creativity is sparked when organizations "reward success and failure, punish inaction."  It may sound really weird, but in addition to the evidence that supports it, Merck seems to be doing it. And so do a lot of other creative organizations.

When I  really want to get executives upset, I sometimes propose that they reward failure MORE than success when they are managing creative work.  I am not sure if I believe it is a good idea, but having the discussion can be pretty interesting.

[Bob Sutton]
7:33:08 AM  
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